CNN/Time Poll Shows Miller with Commanding Lead

A CNN/Time poll shows that US Senate Candidate Joe Miller has a commanding lead over both his opponents, Ian Lazaran of Conservatives4Palin reported this morning.

Lazaran delineated three principal reasons for Miller’s lead. First, any potential complication with voting for Murkowski in a write-in would likely sway a voter to go with Miller. The poll indicated that 10% of Murkowski’s supporters would indeed switch candidates if they found it difficult to vote for her. Second, the CNN/Time poll was conducted as if Murkowski’s name will appear on the ballot. Being a write-in candidate, her name will not appear on the ballot, which profoundly diminishes the odds of her winning. Finally, with Murkowski in the mix, her presence is only hurting the Democratic candidate and helping Joe Miller. Lazaran concluded:

There are two magic numbers in this race: 38% for Joe Miller and 30% for the clown masquerading as the Alaska Democrat Party Senate nominee. If either scenario happens, Miller has won this race.

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